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In a recent article, we discussed the use of capitalization
rates to estimate the value of a piece of income-producing real
estate. Our discussion concerned the relationship among three variables:
Capitalization Rate, Present Value and Net Operating Income.
We may have gotten a bit ahead of ourselves, since some of our readers
were unclear on the precise meaning of Net Operating Income. NOI, as
it is often called, is a concept that is critical to the understanding
of investment real estate, so we are going to backtrack a bit and review
that subject here.
Everyone in business or finance has encountered the term, "net
income" and understands its general meaning, i.e., what is left
over after expenses are deducted from revenue.
With regard to investment real estate, however, the term, "Net
Operating Income" is a minor variation on this theme and has a
very specific meaning. You might think of NOI as the number of dollars
a property returns in a given year if the property were to be purchased
for all cash and before consideration of income taxes or capital recovery.
By more formal definition, it is a property's Gross Operating Income
less the sum of all operating expenses.
In the fine tradition of professional obfuscation, we have now succeeded
in confounding our readers and compounding their problem by replacing
one undefined term with two.
Let's take these two new terms one at a time:
Gross Operating Income: Definitions are like artichokes. You need to
peel the layers off one at a time. In this case, take the Gross Scheduled
Income, which is the property's annual income if all space were in fact
rented and all of the rent actually collected. Subtract from this amount
an allowance for vacancy and credit loss. The result is the Gross Operating
Income.
Operating Expenses: This is the term that causes the greatest mischief.
Many people say, "If I have to pay it, then it's an operating expense."
That is not always true. To be considered a real estate operating expense,
an item must be necessary to maintain a piece of a property and to insure
its ability to continue to produce income. Loan payments, depreciation
and capital expenditures are not considered operating expenses.
For example, utilities, supplies, snow removal and property management
are all operating expenses. Repairs and maintenance are operating expenses,
but improvements and additions are not - they are capital expenditures.
Property tax is an operating expense, but your personal income-tax liability
generated by the property is not. Your mortgage interest may be a deductible
expense, but it is not an operating expense. You may need a mortgage
to afford the property, but not to operate it.
Subtract the Operating Expenses from the Gross Operating Income and
you have the NOI.
Why all the nitpicking? Because NOI is essential to apprehending the
market value of a piece of income-producing real estate. That market
value is a function of its "income stream," and NOI is all
about income stream. As heartless as it may sound, a real estate investment
is not a felicitous assemblage of bricks, boards, bx cables and bathroom
fixtures. It is an income stream generated by the operation of the property,
independent of external factors such as financing and income taxes.
In truth, investors don't decide to buy properties; they decide to buy
the income streams of those properties. This is not such a radical notion.
When was the last time you chose a stock based upon the aesthetics of
the stock certificate? ("Broker, what do you have in a nice mauve
filigree border?") Never. You buy the anticipated economic benefits.
The same is true of investors in income-producing real estate.
Those readers who have not yet been lulled to sleep by this dissertation
will alertly point out that they have in fact observed changes in the
value of income property precipitated by changes in mortgage interest
rates and in tax laws. Doesn't that observation contradict our assertion
about external factors?
Go back to our earlier article
on the use of capitalization rates, and you will recall that there are
two elements to the value equation: the NOI and the cap rate. The NOI
represents a return on the purchase price of the property; and the cap
rate is the rate of that return. Hence, a property with a $1,000,000
purchase price and a $100,000 NOI has a 10% capitalization rate. However,
the investor will purchase that property for $1,000,000 only if he or
she judges 10% to be a satisfactory return.
What happens if interest rates go up? In that case, there may be other
opportunities competing for the investor's capital - bonds, for
example - and that investor may now be interested in this same
piece of property only if its return is higher, say 12%. Apply the 12%
cap rate (PV = NOI / Cap Rate), and now the investor is willing to pay
about $833,000. External circumstances have not affected the operation
of the property or the NOI. They have affected the rate of return that
the buyer will demand, and it is that change that impacts the market
value of the property.
In short, the NOI expresses an objective measure of a property's income
stream while the required capitalization rate is the investor's subjective
estimate of how well his capital must perform. The former is mostly
science, subject to definition and formula, while the latter is largely
art, affected by factors outside the property, such as market conditions
and federal tax policies. The two work together to give us our estimate
of market value.
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